5.3.09

Baseball Projections 2009

For my projected standing I use aggregate data of different projection systems that I trust, and I adjust them slightly using anecdotal evidence of scouting reports, and the games I watch. Projections have notoriously had problems with young pitching for instance, so sometimes scouting reports can help when adjusting slightly. Remember these are early projections and the standard deviation on these is like 5 games. Once the ESPN experts come out with their projected standings I hope to compare before and after the season. These also include the A-Rod injury (adjusted for missing about 30 games), and the Manny signing.

American League

Red Sox: 97-65
Yankees: 95-67
Rays: 92-70
Orioles: 75-87
Blue Jays: 74-88

Indians: 87-75
Tigers: 82-80
Twins: 82-80
Royals: 74-88
White Sox: 73-89

Angels: 86-76
A’s: 83-79
Rangers: 76-86
Mariners: 73-89

National League

Mets: 89-73
Phillies: 87-75
Braves: 83-78
Marlins: 81-81
Nationals: 70-92

Cubs: 90-72
Cardinals: 83-79
Reds: 81-81
Brewers: 80-82
Astros: 69-93
Pirates: 68-94

Diamondbacks: 87-75
Dodgers: 86-76
Giants: 78-84
Padres: 76-86
Rockies: 74-88

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